ShadowStaker

Market Trend Analysis: The Diversification of the Crypto Assets Market and the Next Wave of Investment Opportunities
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Recently, I took the time over the weekend to deeply think about the current trends in the crypto assets market and整理 out some observations and insights worth sharing.
The true directional trend of the crypto market is likely to become clear only after September. The current market is influenced by multiple factors such as macroeconomic resistance, insufficient summer liquidity, and quarter-end position adjustments, and the real market dynamics may only emerge after the August holidays end and participants fully return. From recent market activities, the rise of most small coins is mainly due to short-squeeze effects. Traders are influenced by the reflex of previous market conditions, chasing short-term momentum, but this time there is a lack of true long-term holders' support. Most investors have suffered heavy losses during the previous market adjustments, leading to many coins experiencing explosive growth.

In 2024, the number of rug pull events in the Crypto Assets space decreased by 66%, but the losses from each event continued to expand, with the Web3 ecosystem losing nearly $6 billion. Fraudulent activities were mainly concentrated in meme coin projects, and identifying potential risks requires attention to abnormal transactions and activities. Despite the constant upgrading of prevention measures, rug pulls remain a challenge for the industry.

The Evolution of Meme Coins: From Joke to Phenomenal Encryption Asset
This article organizes the development process of meme coins, analyzing typical cases and revealing their unique value logic: unlike traditional financial assets, the core value of meme coins is represented as "cultural dissemination power × community consensus", rather than solely relying on technology or practical value. Based on their evolutionary characteristics, they can be divided into three key development stages:
1. Breaking Ground/Foundation Laying (2013-2016) — Wild Growth, Sifting through the Sand
Ephemeral type: short-term popularity, lacking cultural accumulation, and quickly perishing. (e.g., Mooncoin, TIPS, Nyancoin)
The type of perpetual winner: cultural symbols + community-driven, long-term survival. (e.g., DOGE)
2. Dormancy/Outbreak (2017-2021) — The era of smart contracts, meme coins usher in a qualitative change.
Meteor Shining Type: Speculation

Aesthetic Ability: The Top Competitiveness of the New Era
In early summer, take a stroll through the International Trade Center and take a seat at a fine restaurant on the fifth floor. Everything here is defined by a clear price tag, and as long as you can afford it, you can enjoy anything luxurious. In such a consumer society, I can't help but wonder: what are the factors that create the gap between people's lives? After graduation, where is the top competitiveness? The answer comes to mind: aesthetic power.
Various brands within the international trade showcase a unique sense of refinement, an aesthetic that touches the heart and stimulates consumer desire. A careful observation reveals that every detail of those high-end brands has been meticulously designed, and is by no means random.
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Aesthetics is a priori perceptual ability, a skill that externalizes wealth and taste. Top luxury brands spend decades closely associating their logos with "nobility"; high-end skincare brands carefully develop their unique display design aesthetics, making

Analyzing the development history of meme coins: from internet jokes to billion market capitalization assets
This paper systematically sorts out the development process of meme coins, analyzes them through typical cases, and reveals their unique value logic: unlike traditional financial assets, the core value of meme coins is "cultural communication power × community consensus", rather than relying entirely on technical or practical value. According to its evolutionary characteristics, it can be divided into three key stages of development:
1. Breaking Ground/Foundational Work (2013-2016) - Wild Growth, Sifting Through the Sand
Ephemeral type: short-term popularity, lack of cultural accumulation, and rapid extinction. (e.g., Mooncoin, TIPS, Nyancoin)
Evergreen General Type: Cultural Symbol + Community Driven, Long-term Survival. (e.g. DOGE)
2. Dormancy/Explosion (2017-2021) — The era of smart contracts, meme coins usher in a qualitative change

The number of rug pull cases in Crypto Assets in 2024 has significantly decreased, but the scale of single losses has expanded.
According to data from a blockchain analysis platform, the number of rug pull fraud cases in the Crypto Assets sector decreased by 66% compared to last year in 2024, but the scale of losses per incident has shown an upward trend.
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Data reports indicate that the frequency of rug pull incidents has significantly decreased, with 21 independent incidents recorded at the beginning of 2023, while only 7 have occurred from 2024 to date. This change suggests that the industry may be moving towards a more mature direction.
Although the number of incidents has decreased, the Web3 ecosystem has lost nearly $6 billion due to fraudulent activities since the beginning of 2024. However, analysts point out that about 92% of this loss is related to the price collapse of a certain coin, and the project's founder has strongly denied that this was a premeditated fraud.

Paul S. Atkins, the chairman of the U.S. SEC, called for the establishment of a clear regulatory framework for crypto assets at the tokenization roundtable, to accommodate the transition of securities from off-chain to on-chain. He emphasized the need for clear rules for the issuance, custody, and trading of crypto assets, while encouraging regulatory reform to ensure innovation and investor protection, promoting the U.S. as a global crypto hub.

Meme coin investment strategy: Beta, on-chain data, and timing of investment
Why choose Meme coin?
Beta effect
Some meme coins are attractive because they have a high beta coefficient relative to the underlying on-chain asset (Layer 1). In simple terms, appropriately allocating assets like BONK(, a representative meme coin in the Solana ecosystem, can achieve leverage effects on L1 assets without incurring liquidation risks ), all without using actual leverage (.
The key signal we need to pay attention to is when the 30-day beta) pink line( exceeds the 90-day rolling beta) red line(—this last occurred on April 1st. When this happens, the average 30-day and 60-day return rates of BONK reach 124% and 413% respectively, with medians of 45% and 57% respectively.
From BONK and SOL